2010年12月16日星期四

16 Dec 10 Fantasy Football Week 12 Thanksgiving Day: New England Patriots at Detroit Lions

Week 12 Match-up: New England Patriots(8-2) at Detroit Lions(2-8)
Rankings based on top 16 QBs, 32 RBs, 48 WRs, and 16 TEs
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New England Patriots (Patriots Schedule)
Opponent Defensive Ranks
Detroit Pass Defense—2010: Yards Allowed/Game T-13th—TDs Allowed T-17th
Detroit Rush Defense—2010: Yards Allowed/Game 26th—TDs Allowed T-28th

New England Offensive Cast
Tom Brady (QB Week 12 Ranking: No. 9)
2010 Season: 215/329—for 2,362 yards & 19 TDs
I don’t expect more thanReebok Baltimore Ravens #52 Ray Lewis Realtree camo Jersey
250 yards and two TDs in this one for Brady.
Could it happen? Absolutely, but this has the look and feel of a game where the Patriots try to establish an equal sort of dominance between the run and the pass.
The Lions' defense can be had in both ways, so why not use both ways to beat them?

BenJarvus Green-Ellis (RB Week 12 Ranking: No. 11)
2010 Season: 133 carries for 568 yards and seven TDs || Seven receptions for 57 yards and zero TDs
The Lions have given up 11 rushing TDs so far this year (tied for fourth most in the league) while allowing opposing running backs to gain 4.6 YPC.
The Firm may not be the most dynamic or frightening of RBs, but he can rack up the stats on you if you don’t pay attention to him.

Danny Woodhead (RB Week 12 Ranking: No. 26)
2010 Season: 56 carries for 312 yards & three TDs || 22 receptions for 217 yards & one TD
I am going to repeat this statement until he’s recognized as a household name: The records this kid set at both his High School in North Platte, Wisconsin and at his D-II school at Chadron State College are simply staggering.
I mean Madden 2011-style staggering. As in the kid averaged 183 rushing yards/game over FOUR YEARS at Chadron State (212.0 was his highest average—Junior Year) and had 109 total TDs during that time (38 was his most—Junior Year).
He rushed for more than 200 yards in a game 19 of his 39 appearances and scored in 37 straight contests, both NCAA records.
To top it off, Woodhead also ran track in High School for one year and broke his school’s 100-meter record with a time of 10.5 seconds.
Undrafted in the NFL or not, this kid is special.

Fred Taylor (RB Week 12 Ranking: Not ranked)
2010 Season: 25 carries for 98 yards & zero TDs || Two receptions for six yards & zero TDs
I can’t even remember what Fred looks like at this point.

Wes Welker (WR Week 12 Ranking: No. 30)
2010 Season: 57 receptions for 502 yards & four TDs
Welker should be able to gather in a good eight catches or so in this one as Brady has finally figured out how to get him the ball without Randy Moss in the lineup drawing coverage.
I can’t envision a ton of yards for the Slot Machine, but a short TD is definitely a possibility against a Lions D that has allowed 25 points per game in the last five contests.

Deion Branch (WR Week 12 Ranking: No. 33)
2010 Season: 43 receptions for Reebok Chicago Bears #54 Brian Urlacher Realtree camo Jersey
432 yards & two TDs
The Lions' corners have had a tough time this year, and the Brady-Branch combo won’t make their lives any easier.
Branch has an average of nine targets, seven catches and 70.5 yards over the past two games, numbers I can certainly see repeating themselves this Thanksgiving.

Brandon Tate (WR Week 12 Ranking: Not ranked)
2010 Season: 18 receptions for 301 yards & one TD
Tate isn’t getting enough targets to be worth having on your team at this point, much less actually starting him.

Aaron Hernandez (TE Week 12 Ranking: Not ranked)
2010 Season: 35 receptions for 444 yards & three TDs
The reason I have Gronkowski ranked over Hernandez this week is because of what Belichick and the Pats showed me a couple of weeks ago against the Steelers.
Against teams with a heavy pass rush (as the Lions actually have), they need a tight end in there more suitable for blocking. The more you’re on the field, the more chance you have of catching some balls, so even though Hernandez may be better as a pass-catcher, Gronkowski is a much better blocker.
Also: Gronkowski—6’6”, 265 pounds; Aaron Hernandez—6’1”, 245 pounds.
‘Nuff said.

Rob Gronkowski (TE Week 12 Ranking: No. 11)
2010 Season: 20 receptions for 245 yards & six TDs
See above.

Detroit Lions (Lions Schedule)
Opponent Defensive Ranks
New England Pass Defense—2010: Yards Allowed/Game 31st—TDs Allowed T-27th
New England Rush Defense—2010: Yards Allowed/Game 17th—TDs Allowed 17th

Detroit Offensive Cast
Shaun Hill (QB Week 12 Ranking: No. 10)
2010 Season: 188/305—for 1,921 yards & 12 TDs
The kid is doing a fantastic job in relief of the perennially injured Matthew Stafford.
In the six games he’s started and finished this year, he’s averaged 290.3 yards and 1.8 TDs per game.
He’s also averaged 17.7 fantasy points per game (basic scoring system) which would rank him eighth in the league, just ahead of Drew Brees and Tom Brady.

Jahvid Best (RB Week 12 Ranking: Not ranked)
2010 Season: 127 carries for 382 yards & four TDs || 49 receptions for 375 yards & one TD
Best is just too banged up at this point to be considered a viable fantasy threat.
Sit him down until he's healthy enough to make a difference...which could be for the rest of the year.

Maurice Morris (RB Week 12 Ranking: Not ranked)
2010 Season: 21 carries for 41 yards & zero TDs || 11 receptions for 94 yards & zero TDs
With Best being as hobbled as he is, Morris will be the one getting most of the touches this week. However, that in no way means you should actually play him.

Calvin Johnson (WR Week 12 Ranking: No. 2)
2010 Season: 55 receptions for 725 yards & 10 TDs
Oh my! In the games that Shaun Hill has started this year, Calvin has averaged almost 10 targets, just fewer than six catches, 80.9 yards and exactly one TD per game.
With the Patriots pass defense ranking in the bottom five of the league across the board, Megatron could be in store for total domination this Thanksgiving.

Nate Burleson (WR Week 12 Ranking: No. 29)
2010 Season: 37 receptions for 433 yards & four TDs
Burleson continues to reap the benefits that come with playing next to a force like Calvin Johnson.
Over the past three weeks, Nate has averaged almost nine targets, six catches and 85.7 yards a game while hauling in two TDs.
The Pats D allows for two WRs to have nice days against them, so you can bet Burleson will do at least a little bit of damage.

Brandon Pettigrew (TE Week 12 Ranking: No. 2)
2010 Season: 50 receptions for 487 yards & three TDs
Shaun Hill loves his big tight end Reebok Chicago Bears #6 Jay Cutler Realtree camo Jersey
and with Scheffler possibly missing this Thanksgiving Day game, there’s nobody to stop Pettigrew from racking up a ton of stats this Thursday.
New England also happens to be one of the worst teams in the league at defending opposing tight ends.

Tony Scheffler (TE Week 12 Ranking: Not ranked)
2010 Season: 32 receptions for 283 yards & one TD
Scheff is dealing with a rib injury that could keep him out of Thursday's game. Sit him if you haven't already dropped him.

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